Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 15.164091 17.230053 19.594898 22.529366 26.111356 30.392646 35.975913
2025-05-25 12.323451 14.834350 17.958936 22.220671 28.027089 35.893274 47.795151
2025-06-01 10.770811 13.457553 16.990305 22.132937 29.719173 41.031866 60.376948
2025-06-08 9.501161 12.190430 15.870158 21.493089 30.313242 44.526492 71.521563
2025-06-15 8.700744 11.425787 15.288345 21.456514 31.704326 49.512414 87.190437
2025-06-22 7.799074 10.405146 14.189844 20.423525 31.217635 51.058470 96.735433
2025-06-29 7.027679 9.493787 13.144947 19.310493 30.355742 51.642725 104.421440
2025-07-06 6.459734 8.831096 12.407567 18.595183 30.058952 53.238222 115.377936
2025-07-13 6.584552 9.216728 13.336276 20.824613 35.709579 69.115039 176.483075
2025-07-20 6.394334 9.092145 13.420825 21.561164 38.568884 79.805762 233.202328
2025-07-27 5.992337 8.597605 12.838280 20.973240 38.483008 83.007486 265.273974
2025-08-03 5.839470 8.492975 12.907482 21.639107 41.331444 95.417938 356.687261
2025-08-10 5.525053 8.113611 12.487742 21.333413 41.983332 102.142184 435.279619
2025-08-17 5.241877 7.768246 12.100959 21.051340 42.661818 109.462786 538.207938
2025-08-24 5.014100 7.500046 11.828599 20.969757 43.839053 119.235452 695.066363
2025-08-31 4.739899 7.134275 11.346268 20.375875 43.527818 123.431530 820.824105
2025-09-07 4.559876 6.920678 11.130924 20.341912 44.768054 134.688769 1097.698168
2025-09-14 4.282233 6.520303 10.533018 19.382003 43.163795 133.034558 1185.414808
2025-09-21 4.015054 6.126399 9.925147 18.346193 41.178510 128.982734 1222.818701
2025-09-28 3.809038 5.832229 9.493345 17.679652 40.203253 129.402162 1367.900109
2025-10-05 3.921103 6.112095 10.196852 19.754874 48.212671 181.263559 4095.676151
2025-10-12 3.873536 6.097950 10.314571 20.439084 52.011102 215.811228 9520.612946
2025-10-19 3.709326 5.859551 9.959275 19.892994 51.387127 221.209812 13312.222186